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Crown Green Handicap

David Hughes

Team: Ledsham RoyalDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1010

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

8

Wins

3

Losses

73%

Win Rate

8.8

Avg Win Margin

11.3

Avg Loss Margin

4-1

Home Record

4-2

Away Record

11%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/10/2017

Only 11 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 157/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 Jul14 Jul21 Jul2 Aug9 Aug10 Aug-11357

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(35%)
73%
score+0.45→contribution+0.16
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
8.8
score+0.13→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.3
score-0.56→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
73%
score+0.45→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
1000
score+0.45→contribution+0.07
Weighted Score+0.223
Sample Size Confidence
11%(11/33 matches)
Rating1089 → shrunk 1010
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

8W3L11 matches·72.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Ledsham Royal2016–2017Division A118372.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/10/2017vs GladstoneA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
5/25/2017vs Oxton ConsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
8/9/2016vs Pt Sunlight Vill & WksH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
8/4/2016vs Lever ClubA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
8/2/2016vs AlbanyA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
7/28/2016vs TixallH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
7/21/2016vs PensbyA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision A
7/19/2016vs Kings 2000H21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
7/14/2016vs GladstoneA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
7/12/2016vs Oxton ConsH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision A
7/7/2016vs Tixall BA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

1

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LWLWW
Last 1080% win rate↓ declining
LWLWWWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Gladstone11250%8/10/2017
Oxton Cons202100%5/25/2017
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks0110%8/9/2016
Lever Club101100%8/4/2016
Albany101100%8/2/2016
Tixall101100%7/28/2016
Pensby101100%7/21/2016
Kings 2000101100%7/19/2016
Tixall B0110%7/7/2016
Biggest Win
Unknown (+15)7/12/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-14)7/7/2016
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
80% → 67%declining

Not enough data yet.

Division A72.7%
8W·3L·11 played

Debut

Jul 7, 2016

Latest

Aug 10, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.5 (11 total)

Seasons

20162017